AHL Farm Rankings: #20 Mustangs

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Cheapthief
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AHL Farm Rankings: #20 Mustangs

Post by Cheapthief » Wed Apr 21, 2021 1:29 pm

#20 Mustangs

There were a lot of factors that went into evaluating a players value in the AHL, including age of the prospect, salary, and progression. A younger prospect is given more leeway in terms of production than an older player who has yet to produce at the pro level. The level of competition was also factored.

We broke down the teams into 5 tiers:

Tier 1: PPG potential for a $3.00 forward, 50 point potential for a dman. This group will also have some players with lower base salaries that have high upside, but they aren’t held to quite that standard. For a $1.00 3rd rd pick he needs to have 60+ point upside to be in this elite tier. Most every top prospect drafted in 2020 is given serious consideration of being in this tier.

Tier 2: This is where you will find the very good prospects, some $3.00 players who have regressed a little, and some cheaper players on the uptick production wise.

Tier 3: With the players in this group, their trajectory could go either way and the jury is still out. Typically there is potential at reaching tier 2, but just as likely to fall to the bottom.

Tier 4: They are still considered prospects, but their days are numbers and they don’t have a lot of time left to break out.

Tier 5: These are the duds. The only reason any of them should be on a farm is because there is extra space. There is no upside.

In ranking the farms, the entire farm depth was looked at, with extra weight given to high end talents, especially those already producing at the NHL level.

For each report we will cover the average age of the group, number of players drafted by round, and finally, the number of players in the NHL now. Within the summary write up for every team, we will also include what their draft pick status is for the next 3 seasons.

Summary:

When you have a flamboyant owner like Serge Bogosyan, you should expect the franchise to take an unconventional route towards building a winner. This season Serge pushed all his chips towards the center leaving nothing behind in his quest to finally win the Holy Grail. He was able to win the division, and also become the only 2-time Survivor champion, but alas the playoffs didn’t go as he had hoped and now we have a mess that makes the Buffalo Sabres look like the model franchise.

The issue isn’t simply what the farm looks like currently, it’s the compounding problem of tanking not being worthwhile since he owns not a single pick of his own over the next three seasons.. This season he does have Underdogs 2nd, Shoot Loose 4th, and the Swackers 4th rd pick. In both 22-23 and 23-24 he literally has zero picks! In addition to that, it will be difficult to build a winner in the next two seasons as the team is strapped for cap space and doesn’t have a core that is deep enough to build upon with a few high priced free agents. The "young" core on the roster looks like Blake Colman 29, Chandler Stephenson 26, Danton Heinen 25, and Kasperi Kapanen 24. The end. Not a worthwhile player on the roster under 24.

There are more retired players on his farm than there are those playing in the NHL (Just Mikheyev). There isn’t a lot to dissect in terms of value, not a tier 1 or 2 player to be found, mostly a roster full of dead end duds.

Average Age: 25.9

Currently in the NHL: 1

1st rd picks: 3

2nd rd picks: 6

3rd rd picks: 4

4th rd picks: 2





Player/Age/Pos/NHL Rights/Salary/League/Stats


Tier 1:
Crickets

Tier 2:
Same Crickets

Tier 3:

1. Alex Beaucage 19 F COL $1.00 QMJHL 8 3-5=8
-A PPG player in his 4th year in the Q, worth keeping with a reasonable $1 price tag
2. Egor Sokolov 20 F OTT $0.50 AHL 23 11-4=15
-Promising start for the first year AHL rookie after piling up the points in the Q
3. Kody Clark 21 F WSH $1.00 AHL 19 7-2=9
-A better second season in the AHL, but will really need to find another gear if he is going to make the NHL like his dad

Tier 4:

4. Ilya Mikheyev 26 F TOR $1.50 NHL 44 6-9=15
-Regression in year 2 on a high octane Leafs offense, what you see is what you get, and it isn't a whole lot

Tier 5:

5. Zachary Senyshyn 24 F BOS $1.50 AHL 12 6-4=10
-Producing at almost a PPG as a 24 year old in the AHL who has had a few call ups to the big club
6. Samuel Morin 25 D PHI $1.50 NHL 15 1-0=1
-In his 5th NHL season he finally registered his first point
7. Rourke Chartier 25 F SJ $1.00 AHL 21 1-4=5
-Played one season in the beer league before returning to the Marlies and has regressed
8. Hunter Shinkaruk 26 F MTL $3.00 KHL 47 12-18=30
-A breakout season so far... in the KHL for life
9. Duncan Siemens 27 D COL $2.50 Beer Coors
-PP QB on a dynamic Coors team
10. Brian Hart 27 F TB $1.50 Beer Budweiser
-Rookie phenom with the Buds, should be one of the league leaders in scoring
11. Tyler Biggs 27 F PIT $2.00 Beer Miller
-Had a career with the Kalamazoo Wings and it looks like he just ate way too many of them
12. Jiri Sekac 28 F ARI $1.00 KHL 34 10-11=21
-Played over 100 NHL games but has been a regular in the KHL 5 years now and thats where it ends
13. Mark Alt 29 D LAK $0.50 AHL 21 2-2=4
-Currently being recruited to join the Miller Genuine Draft squad in Miskoka
14. Alexander Urbom 30 D WSH $2.00 Beer Heineken
-Working towards a return to the Austrian league
15. Adam Pineault 34 F CBJ $3.00 Beer Molson
-A glorious 3 game NHL career will be something to tell the grand kids about


Disagree with this take? Let me know in the comments.

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